Base rate fallacy

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Notion

Domain

Science and technology

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What Wikipedia says

The base rate fallacy, also called base rate neglect or base rate bias, is a type of fallacy in which people tend to ignore the base rate (e.g., general prevalence) in favor of the information pertaining only to a specific case. Base rate neglect is a specific form of the more general extension neglect.

Excerpt from the Wikipedia article “Base rate fallacy”, under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license. Read the article on Wikipedia

Image: Marc Rumilly Vectorization: Mrmw, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons.